Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.010091 5.981425 7.060485 8.343776 9.823780 11.472397 13.442931
2025-02-16 3.491711 4.703099 6.188318 8.125516 10.565766 13.516431 17.330387
2025-02-23 2.510561 3.759925 5.428038 7.779633 10.964113 15.075849 20.726326
2025-03-02 1.853565 3.057249 4.791957 7.409609 11.180851 16.325838 23.762452
2025-03-09 1.484701 2.667399 4.489459 7.403763 11.826492 18.140878 27.650541
2025-03-16 1.218017 2.369171 4.254528 7.432454 12.482658 19.984885 31.691146
2025-03-23 1.004430 2.108193 4.023674 7.413897 13.033955 21.688177 35.627482
2025-03-30 0.791622 1.798159 3.651749 7.098094 13.056406 22.561299 38.350919
2025-04-06 0.665034 1.622467 3.481600 7.091278 13.563724 24.206375 42.356273
2025-04-13 0.556590 1.457807 3.301290 7.033943 13.964494 25.692106 46.191526
2025-04-20 0.511229 1.419559 3.358017 7.417611 15.167247 28.580849 52.484152
2025-04-27 0.459928 1.355713 3.351178 7.673641 16.155189 31.165919 58.424768
2025-05-04 0.419745 1.312473 3.386310 8.027637 17.378080 34.280477 65.526850
2025-05-11 0.357618 1.197947 3.246914 8.006667 17.885592 36.172064 70.655706
2025-05-18 0.290049 1.049368 3.002458 7.727474 17.854249 37.080895 74.110587
2025-05-25 0.231277 0.907273 2.745102 7.379741 17.640545 37.623049 76.925250
2025-06-01 0.198738 0.835266 2.648298 7.380681 18.141002 39.534720 82.334193
2025-06-08 0.172239 0.774558 2.569387 7.411574 18.703976 41.598366 88.136542
2025-06-15 0.147874 0.712997 2.476186 7.393825 19.155684 43.467848 93.671306
2025-06-22 0.118312 0.620671 2.276413 7.079010 18.909744 43.919124 96.507094
2025-06-29 0.101889 0.573618 2.200401 7.072293 19.363269 45.817371 102.253602
2025-07-06 0.086675 0.525353 2.110490 7.015118 19.690856 47.471322 107.601358
2025-07-13 0.082586 0.525811 2.177445 7.397912 21.102697 51.491192 117.880989